Sunday, January 27, 2008

South Africa - Civil War or Peaceful split?

South Africa - Civil War or Peaceful split?

South Africa - Civil war or Peaceful split?
By Mike Smith – Cape Town 9 December 2007

Watching the current power struggle within the ANC, it is clear that the party can no longer exist in its current form after the Polokwane conference or in the run-up to the 2009 elections. A split is inevitable. This will be no peaceful divorce. The split will be messy and we will see similar scenes as that of the early ‘90s; Xhosas against Zulus, Communism against Tribal Nationalism, basically one big orgy of violence and death.

In the early ‘90s the white population of South Africa was mostly excluded from this fight and it was only the army and police who actually got involved trying to keep the sides separate. This time around it will be different. Whites will be sucked into this future conflict and it will be during this time that we might see the Afrikaners reclaiming their two Boer Republics. The Zulu’s will claim KwaZulu Natal and the Cape Coloureds along with some liberal whites will claim the Cape. This break-up of South Africa is a serious possibility if we look at some examples.

The first example is the former Yugoslavia, an artificially created Kingdom since 1918 and an artificially created Socialist state since 1943, until its breakup in 1991. Yugoslavia today are split up into six independent countries and two autonomous provinces and it serves as an example of what happens when different races, cultures and religions are forced together in the name of multiculturalism, diversity and “Nation building”. It is artificial and it cannot last!

We further saw in Yugoslavia that the Communist never give up land or grants a people autonomous rule without a fight. The various freedom wars were bloody and the conflicts are still not fully solved, as can be noted in Kosovo.

A bloody civil war is not always the answer. Are there examples of countries that have had peaceful splits? Yes certainly.

Norway peacefully separated from Sweden in 1905. Norway's growing dissatisfaction with the union with Sweden during the late 19th century combined with nationalism prompted the dissolution of the union. After a national referendum confirmed the people's preference for a monarchy over a republic, the Norwegian government offered the throne of Norway to the Danish Prince Carl and Parliament unanimously elected him king. He took the name of Haakon VII, after the medieval kings of independent Norway. Today the relationship between Norway and Sweden is better than it ever was when they were in a union.

Czechoslovakia is another example. In February 1948 the Communists seized power, winning an electoral victory in May. The country was divided into 19 regions and, in 1960, into 10 regions plus Prague and Bratislava. During the 1960’s there were some uprisings and calls for democratic change, but in 1968 the USSR sent 600,000 troops to brutally suppress these demonstrations and return rule to the orthodox line.

Influenced by events elsewhere in Eastern Europe, a series of initially student-led pro-democracy rallies were held in Prague in November 1989. The 10 million Czechs saw economic reform as more important than State reform, which was high on the priority list of the 5 million Slovaks. Instead of fighting and blocking each other, the Czechs and the Slovaks decided that a split would be in the best interest of both sides. Many people who were opposed to the split, said that it would be catastrophic, but it went smoothly. Buildings in the Czech part were given to the Czechs and those in Slovakia to the Slovaks. Moving assets and debt were split up evenly and the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic became sovereign states on 1 January 1993.

Recently we have seen the creation of the Scottish parliament, giving the Scots more self rule and it might even lead to an independent Scotland in the future. I certainly will not rule that possibility out.

In Belgium we see the Dutch speaking Flemish wanting to break away from the French speaking Wallonians. The Flemish are economically stronger than the Wallonians and so strong is the cultural and language divide between these two groups, that less than one percent of all Belgium marriages are between Flemish and Wallonians; this in a country where these two groups are both white and Christian. People there say that the split is coming soon, it is only a matter of time and the fuse of the powder keg is burning ever shorter. I certainly hope that the split will be a peaceful one.

If we now turn our attention to South Africa, it is only logical to deduce that South Africa will go the same way as Yugoslavia. South Africa was also artificially created in 1910. The two British colonies of the Cape and Natal along with the two former Boer Republics of the ZAR and the Orange Freestate, were forced together into the Union of South Africa and former autonomous states were reduced to mere provinces. When the ANC took over, they made it nine provinces and artificially created what Mandela refers to as “The Rainbow Nation”. South Africa has nine official languages and fourteen major tribes or ethnic groupings, each with its own distinct culture, traditions and religion. It is madness to think that these groups will live “peacefully” together for much longer. The Marxist, terrorist ANC’s policies of multiculturalism and ethnic diversity is a ticking nuclear time bomb, let alone a burning fuse on a powder keg.

My prediction is that the break up of South Africa will start in KwaZulu-Natal with some student uprisings. The Zulus want to be independent; next will follow the two Boer Republics and lastly the Cape. It is during this time that other smaller nations will also claim independence and new borders will be defined.

A peaceful split would definitely be in the best interest of all, but somehow I do not think it will be possible; not as long as the Communists are in control of South Africa.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Do you know what realy makes me sick. All these White South Africans who run the country down but when there is a sports game on they are there with the new flag. They wave it and show the world how proud you are of the new SA. You sing and dance beside your black brothers with big smiles on your face. What do you think the rest of the world thinks, that is one very happy country and it is truly a RAINBOW NATION.
So next time you say something bad about SA, think about how many time you have held the new SA flag with pride.
I left 8 years ago and will never support any SA team.

Anonymous said...

Maby it'll be beter if instead all white South Africans go to a rugby game with the old Aparteid Flag.That will get the world media to focus attention on the problems in South Africa.Or perhaps when the Stormers play the Old cape colonial flag

Ron. said...

This article is a great analysis of the situation & I agree that the artificial macro State of South Africa -which most in the West do not realize was created by British Imperialists with an act of legislation in the British Parliament - will definitely split up in the future -whether it will be peaceful or not will be up to how respected various established borders will be as there will likely be issues concerning this.

The only problem I have with the article is that it perpetuates the mythology of the Boer Republics belonging to the Afrikaners when they were the property of the Boers. This is not semantics but an important point as the Afrikaners are a MACRO group consisting mainly of White Afrikaans speakers who were NEVER part of the Boer Nation.

This is important to realize as most Afrikaners are descended from the once called Cape Dutch who were often opponents of the Boers & their aspirations. Boer patriots like the late Robert van Tonder of the Boerestaat Party & Theuns Cloete the Chairman of Boervolk Radio (among many others) have pointed out that the Boers are under Afrikaner domination [1] & as such will have a difficult time in reclaiming their old Boer Republics as most modern Afrikaners are inclined to support the existence of the macro State of South Africa & even think they can build a future ruling coalition.

This is pure madness & a distraction to the Boer people who could virtually reclaim their old republics tomorrow if all 1.5 million of them stood together as a united nation (people) in the pursuit of demanding the restoration of their old republics. Republics which were recognized the world over too. [2]

The Cape based Afrikaners along with the Cape Coloureds will likely
reclaim the Cape particularly the Western Cape as the eastern part will likely go to an independent Xhosaland (as it was in the past). The Griquas will likely get parts of the Northern Cape. [3]

Considering the fact that there are 3.5 million White Afrikaans speakers out of which not much more than a third are of Boer descent: it is imperative that the Boer people seek to restore their old Boer Republics on their own apart from the Afrikaners as the Boers are outnumbered by the more "liberal" & neo Colonial Cape based Afrikaners who often reject any form of secession.

The anti Colonial nature of the Boers is what lead to the creation of their various republics in the past & if they hope to have a future successful Boer Republic again then they will have to do so as the distinct people that they are apart from the bulk of the Afrikaners who often do not share their republican / conservative & independent oriented outlook. The Boers have been under Afrikaner domination ever since the 1930s when the impoverished Boers' political power was crushed under the weight of the Cape based Afrikaner Nationalism which robed the Boers of their unique identity as well as co-opting them [4] to a degree as the Cape based Afrikaners had to justify their hegemony of the new macro state by appropriating the history of the Boers. The danger of a macro Afrikaner group claiming the Boers Republics as well would be the continued Afrikaner domination of the Boers who would not find the true independence that they had during the 19th cent when they often refused the overtures of the Cape based Afrikaners [5] to enter into any sort of political union as the Cape Afrikaners would benefit more from this (as they later did) due to their greater numbers.

Notes.

1. Theuns Cloete of Boervolk Radio noted in an interview with the Right Perspective on Jan 6 2007 (a highly significant date for the Boers) that the Afrikaners have downtrodden the Boers & stole their inheritance. Cloete further notes the Afrikaner domination of the Boers in other interviews with the Right Perspective program in December of 2007.

2. C W van der Hoogt. The Story of the Boers.

3. During the 19th century the Griquas established Griqualand in the Northern Cape.

4. Yolandi Groenewald. Bang bang – you’re dead.

Quote: [
When the war ended, Pretorius says, these turncoats also shared in its spoils. They weren’t impoverished while the Boer soldiers who returned home had nothing left.

“These people were so impoverished, they were unable to participate in the politics of the day successfully and when the union of South Africa was formed in 1910, the Afrikaners from the Cape received most of the power.”

In 1914, when Boere rebels turned against the Jan Smuts government and refused to fight in World War I, they were mistakenly labelled as Afrikaner rebels, Pretorius says.

He says the Boerevolk was further sidelined during the Hertzog administration. But, in 1938, the big Groot Trek celebrations took place at the Voortrekker Monument and Boer patriotism took hold of the volk.

“But Afrikaners like DF Malan hijacked the Boer patriotism and used it to establish Afrikaner nationalism. With one shot, the Boerevolk was robbed of their identity.”


Pretorius says the Ossewa Brandwag that was established shortly afterward, just before World War II broke out, was again Boerevolk identity coming to the fore. But after Malan took control in 1948, it was nationalist ideals all the way. But, he says, since the Eighties, Boere have been rediscovering their identity and their sense of where they belong in the country -- even more so since 1994. ]

5. Micheal Barthorp noted on page 44 of The Anglo-Boer Wars that the Afrikaner Bond of the Western Cape was rebuffed & not supported by the Boers of the then Republics.

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